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2019: the year in review

© Jess Hurd

The end of 2019 marks the end of the first phase of Brexit. With a deal passed, the UK will be leaving the EU on 31st January 2020. The future of the country, its economic model and its broader political outlook, will now be determined over years of trade negotiations, including with Trump’s America. Boris Johnson’s strong majority in parliament means that his administration – the successor project to Vote Leave – will get its way on everything, unless there is enough external pressure to force it to change course.

The early days of 2019 were more hopeful. Many of Theresa May’s opponents had spent the last part of 2018 worrying that she would get a deal through parliament, but on January 15th it was subjected to the biggest parliamentary defeat ever inflicted on a government. The defeat of Brexit in parliament was made possible by two voting blocs – the Tory right which insisted on voting against the government; and secondly, and the opposition, who overwhelmingly followed the whip.

Various iterations the same vote took place until Theresa May’s resignation, producing no majority for any course of action or any form of Brexit. The equation changed when Boris Johnson became Prime Minister in July. His primary success was theatrical. In expelling his backbench rebels, issuing ultimatums to parliament, proroguing it, and being defeated in it, he set up a narrative of frustration and antipathy towards the political elite. (As a right wing Etonian, he is apparently magically exempt from this category).

To create the election in which this narrative might become useful, Johnson needed to force the hand of the opposition into calling one. This he did by uniting the hard right of the Tory Party behind what was essentially Theresa May’s Brexit deal, offering them jobs and displaying his Leave-backing credentials. With the help of a few more Labour rebels, who had presumably decided that the time had come for self-immolation, the government got the deal through in principle (at ‘Second Reading’). This tipped the balance, and pushed the Opposition parties into accepting the government’s  challenge to a general election.

Outside parliament, 2019 was a year of polarisation. As the Tories pushed ahead with a Brexit agenda for which they had no mandate, Remainers and Leavers became more entrenched. By September, 73% of Leave voters backed No Deal. On our side, the anti-Brexit movement mobilised in numbers not seen since the movement against the Iraq War. In March, July and October, hundreds of thousands took to the streets. The left presence on the protests grew substantially during the year, as the rank and file of the labour movement hardened against Brexit and the Green Party continued to mobilise thousands.

The starkest electoral illustration of this polarisation came in May, when the Brexit Party and the Liberal Democrats came first and second in the European elections, beating a Labour Party which remained neutral on Brexit, and a Tory Party which almost refused to run candidates at all. Ultimately, Labour continued to remain neutral, though it did move towards a public vote position in the aftermath of the elections, partly as a result of the work of Another Europe.

The year ended in disaster – but no defeat is total or final, and in the new year we have much to do. Looking back onto our achievements over the past year, we have come a long way, and in the new year we have much to do.

 

In parliament 

 

 

In the streets

 

In Labour 

 

In the field of ideas

 

In ourselves